Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions
The Detroit Red Wings (21-16-5) take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-8) Sunday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsodds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Wings hit the road fresh off a 5-3 victory at home over the Los Angeles Kings Saturday. They cashed the Over 6.5 and took a +150 ML payout with them. The Wings have won 4 of 5 with their only setback in overtime to the Edmonton Oilers Thursday.
The Leafs, who edged the Wings 3-2 in Detroit in November, have dropped the last 2 games, as Colorado took them out 5-3 Saturday, and the New York Islanders prevailed 4-3 in overtime Thursday. Toronto was favored in both.
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Red Wings at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Wings +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Maple Leafs -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings +1.5 (-145) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Red Wings at Maple Leafs projected goalies
James Reimer (3-6-2, 3.41 GAA, .889 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (5-2-6, 3.94 GAA, .862 SV%, 1 SO)
Reimer hasn't played in 2024 yet, and his last 2 starts in December, he might have tweaked his back watching 6 goals in each game go by him. He allowed 5+ goals in all 4 of his December starts. He's helping fill the void for starter Ville Husso, who is out with a lower-body injury.
Samsonov also had some calisthenics work watching goals fly past him. After a Dec. 9 shutout, he saw 21 goals zoom past him in his final 4 December starts. He saw Detroit 3 times last season and stopped 55 of 61 shots for a 2.23 GAA and .902 SV%.
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Red Wings at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 5, Red Wings 2
Moneyline
The price on the home side came down 10 cents from -200, but you still can't risk that with the amount of core work these goalies are doing looking behind them at the lamp lighting. Toronto has won 8 out of 10 matchups. You can bring the price down with a simple SGP MAPLE LEAFS ML + OVER 4.5 GOALS (-140).
Puck line/Against the spread
The Leafs won 3-2 in November, but that was the 1st single-goal finish in 7 meetings. Go easy here, particularly because the Leafs are just 10-8-2, but I see another multi-goal finish.
LEAN MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+120).
Over/Under
We're projected more than 7 goals, but honestly, that is never a good bet to make. These teams have had 7 goals in just 1 of the last 6 meetings. Now, the goaltending situation for each team is very different, but I'm steering clear.
PASS.
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